Thread Contributor: Power
Coin toss strategy
#1
Here's a really simple straightforward coin toss strategy:

Quote:It really is as simple as "the bet is in your favor-take it." S=xS=x. You win 100(3100−1)100(3100−1) with probability 2−1002−100 and lose 100100 with almost certainty. This presumes somebody can pay you that much. The expected win is then 3100−12100⋅100−100(1−12100)≈4⋅10193100−12100⋅100−100(1−12100)≈4⋅1019 To maybe make this less unbelievable, imagine a two round game. Clearly on the last throw, you want to bet all you have, increasing your expected fortune by 50%50%. On the first throw, then your expectation is 1.5(x−S2+x+2S2)=1.5(x+S2)1.5(x−S2+x+2S2)=1.5(x+S2) which (given the rules) is maximized when S=xS=x. Alternately, your result is the same if you interchange the two flips. Since you should be all on the last flip, you should on the first as well.

I think I'll have better luck without it lol :P

Source: http://math.stackexchange.com/questions/...l-strategy
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#2
I've flipped for heads 6 times in a row and haven't won one yet.. haha

#3
I have won i think 9 tosses and lost 4 , won a total of 2000 ish coins and donated about 1200 coins
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#4
Shit is about to go down, i just won some coins hehe. Not following this strategi haha

Shit man i have made some BANK!
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#5
We will be fixing the win probability soon. ;)

#6
I think I'm 1 for like 8 right now haha, we should be able to see our W/L ratio.

#7
(11-16-2016, 10:08 PM)Cyber Wrote: We will be fixing the win probability soon. ;)

You should make a shop for the coins so we can buy some awards ::P

I have made som bank in the last 30 min Hehe
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#8
(11-16-2016, 10:11 PM)Resize Wrote:
(11-16-2016, 10:08 PM)Cyber Wrote: We will be fixing the win probability soon. ;)

You should make a shop for the coins so we can buy some awards ::P

I have made som bank in the last 30 min Hehe

Will soon, although coins maybe reset due to this bug that @"Senpie"‍ should've fixed earlier with coin toss.

#9
(11-16-2016, 10:18 PM)Cyber Wrote:
(11-16-2016, 10:11 PM)Resize Wrote:
(11-16-2016, 10:08 PM)Cyber Wrote: We will be fixing the win probability soon. ;)

You should make a shop for the coins so we can buy some awards ::P

I have made som bank in the last 30 min Hehe

Will soon, although coins maybe reset due to this bug that @"Senpie"‍ should've fixed earlier with coin toss.

Oh i tought i was on a winning streak hahaha
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#10
If its heads and tails the win % should stay 50/50
[Image: arma_sig.png]



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